Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.610498 0.682951 0.761519 0.853197 0.957428 1.072462 1.209335
2025-02-16 0.497691 0.596735 0.712779 0.859439 1.040774 1.258812 1.542614
2025-02-23 0.439086 0.551163 0.689422 0.873842 1.115371 1.423643 1.851240
2025-03-02 0.383379 0.498828 0.647143 0.853658 1.136932 1.516468 2.071233
2025-03-09 0.353382 0.474584 0.635985 0.869510 1.203485 1.671161 2.388538
2025-03-16 0.321093 0.443036 0.610503 0.860971 1.232440 1.773206 2.638972
2025-03-23 0.299089 0.423081 0.598282 0.868534 1.283244 1.909517 2.953962
2025-03-30 0.274840 0.397386 0.574949 0.856458 1.301804 1.996921 3.199949
2025-04-06 0.255554 0.377127 0.557471 0.850860 1.328588 2.098086 3.478121
2025-04-13 0.231243 0.347236 0.522789 0.814775 1.302199 2.109053 3.601827
2025-04-20 0.220146 0.336747 0.517037 0.824106 1.350643 2.248436 3.966882
2025-04-27 0.210348 0.327455 0.512251 0.834214 1.400708 2.394672 4.361204
2025-05-04 0.199927 0.316636 0.504527 0.839305 1.443622 2.534711 4.766503
2025-05-11 0.189984 0.305894 0.496121 0.842476 1.483420 2.673385 5.188418
2025-05-18 0.182953 0.299432 0.494284 0.856813 1.544633 2.858122 5.728194
2025-05-25 0.170768 0.283318 0.474621 0.837047 1.539249 2.912526 5.999465
2025-06-01 0.165295 0.278421 0.474150 0.852555 1.603225 3.111369 6.612566
2025-06-08 0.156607 0.267257 0.461669 0.844203 1.618851 3.212371 7.018586
2025-06-15 0.150894 0.261016 0.457611 0.851601 1.666820 3.385963 7.617763
2025-06-22 0.142946 0.250202 0.444365 0.839788 1.673631 3.471090 8.015817
2025-06-29 0.136423 0.241610 0.434695 0.834312 1.693231 3.586300 8.504937
2025-07-06 0.126594 0.226276 0.411265 0.799011 1.645064 3.542875 8.582031
2025-07-13 0.122871 0.222271 0.409382 0.808139 1.695599 3.733016 9.300805